Posts Tagged ‘future’

Behind Every Trend is a Driving Force. Here are 10…

July 3rd, 2010
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Access to potable water in 2005.
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One challenge we face in determining new government and economic models, is broadening our sights in order to adopt a globally integrated view. As depicted on the concept map linked below, the driving forces affecting major trends are many.
The IMF has divided the world into 9 economic regions. Each region is trying to control for driving forces that keep them in harmonious tune with global trends. How to prepare for wildcard disasters affecting potable water supply and arable land, is a big challenge in each region but to varying degrees.
An earthquake in Haiti and Chile, a Volcano in Iceland, an Oil Spill in the Gulf, ALL have ripple effects that can produce tipping points beyond a region’s ability to return to stability.
There are some bright prospects on the horizon (assuming that’s not a Tsunami just ahead).
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Land Ho! … Arriving on the other side of Web 2.0

February 13th, 2010
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Not everyone agrees with Thomas Friedman‘s descriptions of our networked world in his best seller, The World is Flat. However, most would agree that human-kind is indeed on a journey from our agrarian past, through our industrial and post-industrial 20th century, into our present 21st century techno-savvy culture.

And many – at least those who have studied the history of education – agree we have traveled a long way from our behaviorist past (focusing on reward and punishment), through the cognitive 20th century (brain centered learning), to our constructivist present (knowledge is constructed both within and without; both personally and socially).

The crystal balls of those in the know seem to be affirming the same conclusion: We are at a critical nexus with regard to technology innovation in just about every possible arena of social interaction whether medical, governmental, educational, business or military as depicted below…

Medicine … Nano- and Bio-tech advances
Education … Online and Mobile delivery platform migration
Government … OpenGov2.0
Business … Relationship economy driven by social media platforms
Military … Drone technogies

Just how far have we come? We cannot measure how far we’ve come unless we know how far we can go. Futurists (wfs.org) use various trend detecting techniques to peer into the future. Based on current research, where we are today is in keeping with Thomas Friedman’s claim that we are at the end of the beginning. In other words, where we are today with our emerging tech-culture and nearly five decades of Internet under our belt, is only at the end of the first phase of the tech revolution. When it comes to merging the electro-chemical human with electro-mechanical technology, we are just getting started.

It is precisely this initial transitory phase that has kept us disoriented; in the beginning due to future-shock (fear and resistance) and now due to future-disconnect (denial and reckless abandon). How will we enter this next phase of innovation that will lead us beyond the so-called Web 2.0 with its community-encouraging connectedness, into an age where the real is augmented (AR), intelligence is supplemented (AI), and human needs are predictably anticipated rather than simply computed?

The human culture vessel has been sailing for some decades across this ocean of change from industrial to technological. There have been and still are many in the crows nest with an eye on the horizon. The good news is, land is in sight. However there remains the unnerving prospect of uncertainty regarding the promise and/or peril that awaits. And we can’t control all of the events with which we will collide. Therefore, we owe it to ourselves to arm our most powerful weapon over which we do have control; the mind. A mind trained to think critically is a formidable opponent.

The explorers of centuries past faced the same plight that stares us down today. Uncertainty was the common lot, then as now. To educate and equip the next generation to face their unknown future is our prime directive. But the education I’m speaking of goes beyond being social-media adept or rich in cultural experiences. It requires more than tolerance and understanding. These qualities would be sufficient if we only faced increasing interactivity among the human race. But the human is merging with its technology.

Just as the industrial era produced machines to mimic and exceed human physical power, so tech advances will mimic and exceed human cognitive power. How will we engage these innovations for the common good? How will we increase human capability (education) and skill (training) within the new paradigm?

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Redefining-the-wireless-experience (video) … Teachers prepare!

January 25th, 2010
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The ubiquitous access to real-time data streaming will augment every facet of our daily lives from travel to shopping, from education to communication. Get ready. We’re on a collision course. ;-)
Watch the video below » More: Redefining-the-wireless-experience (video) … Teachers prepare!
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Future of Business is Social Media driven…

December 17th, 2009
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Extreme reputation model means you may not exist virtually!

Gerd Leonhard makes some great points in three minutes. Mobile driven instant feedback mechanisms may mean your business no longer exists virtually. Are we allowing our customer eco-systems to be fed a balanced diet? Whether you believe in the value of crowd sourced data or not, it can make or break a business.

New models must be adopted that enable the crowd to have more control than is traditionally allowed by old business models. Nevertheless, it’s the open source, creative commons world we are entering. We don’t have a choice. We’re on a collision course. Brace yourselves.

Posted via web from Dallas’s posterous

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The Future of Business: Innovation and Sustainability based on what we love more than what we measure…

December 17th, 2009
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I’m reminded of the axiom that we measure what we value but what we love, we protect. This 3 minute video explains pretty well why that is and why new business models must reach for more than trust, performance, and respect. As Saachi advertising gurus brought out last year, trademarks must be replaced by lovemarks.

We live in an experience market more than a consumer market. Sustainable experiences are those experiences we love and to which we want to come back and invite others.

What about education? What model do we use in the design of our schools and the learning we deliver? Are we meeting the needs of stakeholders? We would do well to reconsider, rethink, redesign, and reconstruct from the ground up.

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Libraries Evolving into Laboratories of Synergistic Learning through “Trends” as Information Commons.

December 17th, 2009
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libraries seem to be evolving into laboratories of synergistic learning through “trends” as information commons.

I like this definition of libraries in light of how technology is transcending traditional space-time barriers within which they have existed. Technology is stretching the “boxes” outside of which we think; even eliminating the box altogether. Was it ever 2 dimensional anyway? Think outside the cube. Think outside the orb. Transcend the metaverse of space-time. The human spirit – the final frontier?

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10 Ways Social Media Will Change In 2010

December 11th, 2009
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The forces at play here are intriguing, no? Social web is a platform and attitude behind which is a full spectrum of philosophies about what should take center-stage.

Is there an inherent tug-o-war between those wanting to exploit and those merely wishing to connect? Will the psychographic experts hound us and chase us down until we are caught by the enterprising enterprises??

Is the social web the new platform for serving cleverly disguised spam? Mmm… mashups and gravy! My favorite ;-)

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What are Educational Technologist Leadership Competencies?

December 1st, 2009
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The cool possibilities about the more than 200 real-time web 2.0 tools under development (Like Google Wave) is that sync and async are being melded together along with multi-dimensional communication tools such as voice, text, image, video, etc.

When semantic web becomes the standard (searchable text becomes recognizable object) then tagging and bookmarking values will be reduced and personal and group collections will become more useful.

Such collections will not simply consist of some items “saved” to another location, but more likely will consist of “searched” items and “pointed to” results. http://popurls.com is demonstrating the real-time value of aggregating crowd sourced and theme specific topics. Studying such real-time results can be a great source of discussion for critical thinking development.

The most important quality for Ed Tech leaders is to understand trends and adapt their craft to emerging innovations. Higher education may do students a disservice by focusing too much on tool techniques and too little on trend research.

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Cyborg Learning Theory in Education…

November 2nd, 2009
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Cyborg Learning Theory (CLT) explains how future generations perceive and experience their universe. CLT contextualizes a human identity that is merging with technology intrinsically; the electro-chemical human merging with the electro-mechanical innovation (think of biomedical, nano-technological developments, etc.).

Implications for teachers in the classroom, whether face-to-face (f2f) or online, are far-reaching. Educators must lead the next generation by » More: Cyborg Learning Theory in Education…

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Web 1.0, 2.0, and 3.0 revisited…

July 24th, 2009
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In a previous post, I gave simple definitions of Web 1.0, Web 2.0, and speculated on what Web 3.0 might hold for us (realizing of course these are unofficially recognized and ambiguously overused terms).

But now with all the hoopla about Web of Things and Internet of Things, I find further evidence for my original definitions.

Web 1.0 was about information. Web 2.0 is about communication. And Web 3.0 (Or Web 0, depending on your views), is about connection. However, I don’t mean connection in a superficial sense. Rather, like the post-human view, the electro-chemical carbon-based life forms merge with the electro-mechanical micro-sensing world. The connection is a cross-reality (M.I.T. term) linking virtual with real-time.

It will be interesting to see what happens next. Until now, virtual reality overcame space-time barriers but real life remained subject to them. Cross-reality bridges this gap to create a new experience. Rather than one or the other, both are merged: A post-human, cyborg (cybernetic organism) view.

What is possible is no longer limited by human imagination. The new paradigm is emerging with the mashup of imagination and computerization. The future is not merely an internet of things as much as the connection of… (you finish the sentence).

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